Global Pattern Formation and Ethnic/Cultural Violence

Prediction of regions of ethnic violence in the former Yugoslavia (red overlay) by an agent model (colored dots as agents) based upon the population distribution of ethnic groups in 1991. The prediction map is shown in the context of a geospatial map of Europe.
Click here for larger image.

M. Lim, R. Metzler, Y. Bar-Yam,
Science 317, 5844 (2007).

  • Full Article
  • Abstract
  • Download supplementary materials
  • Press Release
  • Previous Work: Chapter 16 from Making Things Work. view PDF

    TV, Radio, and Podcasts

  • ABC TV News Video Clip (produced by Science Central)
  • Listen to the Science podcast interview with Yaneer Bar-Yam
  • NPR's Earth and Sky interview

    News Articles

  • Computer Model Predicts Outbreaks of Ethnic Violence
          (from livescience.com)
  • The Essence of Group Conflict
          (from Science News Online)
  • Good Fences make Good Neighbors
          (from Science Daily and others)
  • Good Fences Make Good Neighbors, Says New Research
          (from newindpress.com)
  • Good fences make good neighbors, scientists find
          (from world-science.net)
  • Mathematical Model Predicts Ethnic Violence
          (from Physics Society of the Philippines)
  • Maths 'could be used to stop ethnic violence'
          (from The Daily Telegraph)
  • Mix or match to check ethnic violence
          (from earthtimes.org and others)
  • New model predicts ethnic violence
          (from Scientific-Computing.com)
  • Novel Study Proves That Good Fences Make Good Neighbors
          (from Medical News Today)
  • Predicting ethnic violence - why good neighbours need good fences
          (from Not Exactly Rocket Science)
  • Predicting Violence
          (from ScienCentralNEWS)
  • Predicting violence
          (from The Telegraph, Calcutta)
  • Researchers create model to predict future ethnic conflicts
          (from Yahoo News India and others)
  • Scientists develop model to predict ethnic violence
          (from Azeri-Press Agency)
  • Scientists develop model to predict ethnic violence
          (from The Hindu and others)
  • Study reveals roots of ethnic conflict
          (from NPR's Earth and Sky)
  • Turf wars key to ethnic-strife predictions
          (from msnbc.com and others)

    International News

  • Criado sistema matemático que permite prever conflitos mundiais
          (from Diário Digital)
  • Die Chemie ethnischer Gewalt
          (from Telepolis)
  • Konfliktforschung: Berechenbare Gewalt
          (from Online Focus, Wissen)
  • Nuovi modelli per i conflitti
          (from OPsonline.it)
  • Frühwarnsystem für Bürgerkriege
          (from Spiegel Online)

    Blogs

  • Can Math Predict War?
          (from Socratic Gadfly)
  • Ethnic conflict, boundaries and cultural identity
          (from Yann Klimentidis' Weblog)
  • Global Pattern Formation and Ethnic/Cultural Violence
          (from Health Equity)
  • Global Pattern Formation and Ethnic/Cultural Violence
          (from Unstable Orbits in the Space of Lies)
  • Inter-ethnic violence predicted by same rules that govern chemicals
          (from NEWS LINKER)
  • Inter-ethnic violence predicted by same rules that govern chemicals
          (from RESEARCH DIGEST BLOG)
  • Math Model Predicts Where Ethnic Conflict Will Erupt
          (from Science Blog)
  • Mathematical Model Predicts Ethnic Violence
          (from Protecting Health for Life)
  • Mathematically Predicting Where Ethnic Conflict Will Erupt
          (from Scientific Blogging)
  • Mixing Ethnic Groups Produces Violence
          (from ParaPundit)
  • Modeling Ethnic Violence
          (from Blackboard Chalk)
  • New Strategy for Iraq?
          (from Technocrat)
  • On Homeokinetics (Complex System)
          (from Seven of Nine)

    References

  • Cultural boundaries and the killing of Cornwall
          (from Our Kingdom)
  • Ethnic Violence in Cornwall
          (from Scottish Socialist Freedom)

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